Your Election May Last more than 4 Hours

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Crux
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Pinch your nose....

Postby Crux » 2016 Sep 24 07:40

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=j_azcqlYC2s

...or stick out your tongue!

VOTE JOHNON-WELD

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Crux
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Re: Your Election May Last more than 4 Hours

Postby Crux » 2016 Sep 24 07:42

Bigbux Stogeychomper wrote:poll.jpg


Nate gives Trump an almost 50% chance of winning, you do know that. Up from 3%.

Folks have miss read the American People before, and Trump specifically, for a long time now...

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Crux
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Re: Your Election May Last more than 4 Hours

Postby Crux » 2016 Sep 24 07:44

Wise One wrote:Sounds like crapola you might find on Breitbart or Alex Jones or Hannity. Give us a credible reference.

What's the basis for what sounds exactly like more Republican lies?

:coffee:


Not lies, common sense. The extent to which Hillary is DEEPLY FLAWED, or how troubled the DNC is, or Democrats in general is not to be underestimated. It is likely she will be replaced if she can not stabilize her physicality and mental/cognitive/neurological person...

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Wise One
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Re: Your Election May Last more than 4 Hours

Postby Wise One » 2016 Sep 24 11:24

Yep, no source, no confirmation, no facts.

Just as I suspected. False charge, pulled out of somebody's ass.

It's what Republicans do.

:coffee:
"If your only tool is a hammer, every problem looks like Donald Trump."

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Wise One
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Re: Your Election May Last more than 4 Hours

Postby Wise One » 2016 Sep 24 11:28

Crux wrote:Nate gives Trump an almost 50% chance of winning

Evidently you don't know how to read graphs. In the image displayed, Nate pegs probabilities at 62/38.

Clicking on the image gives up-to-the-minute estimate, today it's 61/39.

:coffee:
"If your only tool is a hammer, every problem looks like Donald Trump."

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Crux
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I was not WRONG

Postby Crux » 2016 Sep 24 11:54

http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/nate- ... le/2602386

As was reported 4 days ago. Why are you such a snarky jerk AO?
Crux wrote:
Nate gives Trump an almost 50% chance of winning, you do know that. Up from 3%.

Folks have miss read the American People before, and Trump specifically, for a long time now...


This stuff fluctuates and my point is valid. Trump has been misread, as have the American People.

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Crux
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This is up for discussion obviously.

Postby Crux » 2016 Sep 24 12:03

Wise One wrote:Yep, no source, no confirmation, no facts.

Just as I suspected. False charge, pulled out of somebody's ass.

It's what Republicans do.


We shall see. If you think the Establishment within the Party isn't gaming this you are just being obtuse.
What I and others speculate on or what is reported or *****FLASHED***** is just a reflection of what we see, and can guess.

Hillary is NOT WELL. She is suffering. Cumodin as a blood thinner is NOT one of the best out there but the word is
that its effects can be quickly reversed if need be. If she falls and hits her head she can have a real problem and
the Doctors would have to balance the thickness of her blood accordingly.

I will leave int up to history to prove what is right, but you don't have to be a medical expert to see Hillary isn't right...

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Wise One
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Re: Your Election May Last more than 4 Hours

Postby Wise One » 2016 Sep 24 12:11

What is that chart?
The chart was published by the right wing Herald Examiner, and attributed to Nate.
But it differs from the chart obtained DIRECTLY from Nate, about 1 screen down.
More Republican lies?
Or misleading representation of data other than probability of winning?

:coffee:

PS. I figured it out. If one selects Nate's Now-Cast" representation, what the election results would be if held right now, one can cherry-pick an instant when the margin was 3.9%. Nate's best estimate of what the polls predict for Nov 8 is the more frequently quoted and probably more reliable estimate and consistently shows larger margins.
"If your only tool is a hammer, every problem looks like Donald Trump."

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Crux
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Polls can be depressing.

Postby Crux » 2016 Sep 25 10:01

So can POLS.

Here is one that is not:
LA poll.png
LA poll.png (13.38 KiB) Viewed 4388 times


Sept. 25, 2016 the LA Times Tracking poll. It had Trump up 6+ early last week with Clinton nearly erasing that and now Trump by 4+ today.

http://www.latimes.com/politics/

Let's agree the polls are up and down, the race is and has been at least CLOSE more or less, and that Trump might win HUGELY. :thumbup:

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Wise One
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Re: Your Election May Last more than 4 Hours

Postby Wise One » 2016 Sep 26 11:46

OK, it's officially neck-and-neck.
Capture3.JPG
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Very depressing. In a contest between true competency and experience in a woman and a lying, cheating, ignorant, racist blowhard male, Americans are split down the middle.

Sigh.

:suicide:
"If your only tool is a hammer, every problem looks like Donald Trump."

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Crux
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You could have SIMPLY said I was correct....

Postby Crux » 2016 Sep 26 12:45

FIRST, you should not have a gun ( :suicide: ). Your obvious unbalanced opinions on guns and mania bear this out my friend.

SECOND, your assessment of Trump, and the issues is sorely lacking.

Trump has now picked up the endorsement of ANOTHER Union, the NICEC, representing 5,000 federal immigration officers and law enforcement support staff. We should have all noted that Trump already picked up the endorsement of the Border Patrol Union, a FIRST ever in a POTUS race.

THIRD, the only wild cards are an Assassination or a War. You better be prepared for ANOTHER WAVE election. Gold and Oil are Up.

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Wise One
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Re: Your Election May Last more than 4 Hours

Postby Wise One » 2016 Sep 27 12:00

She was presidential. He was a petulant, rude, brat.

Sadly, few Trumpsters will notice. His hatred, bigotry, racism, recklessness, cheating, and narcissism are just fine to them.

One can only hope that a skinny 2% of the population at the margin, with an ability to look, learn, and exercise critical judgment, will vote for Hillary.

One of the two will be the next President. Please vote for Hillary if you like her better, all things considered, even if she is not your first choice. That's what I'm doing.

:coffee:
"If your only tool is a hammer, every problem looks like Donald Trump."

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Crux
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Trump did better than you might think.

Postby Crux » 2016 Sep 27 13:51

http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article ... slide.html

Despite the disadvantages of a partisan moderator.....

6 followup questions to Trump, none to Hillary.
15 exclusive questions to Trump, only 2 exclusive questions to Hillary.
41 times Holt interrupted Trump, only 7 interruptions of Hillary.

_________________________________________________________

NOTE ALSO: Holt was not supposed to have an earpiece.

The debate commission said the moderator would NOT have an earpiece.

RIGGED ALL THE WAY for the democrat.... :angry4:

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Wise One
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Re: Your Election May Last more than 4 Hours

Postby Wise One » 2016 Sep 27 16:03

Capture4.JPG
Capture4.JPG (38.42 KiB) Viewed 4360 times


The debate bump???

:coffee:
"If your only tool is a hammer, every problem looks like Donald Trump."

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Wise One
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Re: Trump did better than you might think.

Postby Wise One » 2016 Sep 27 16:06

Crux wrote:41 times Holt interrupted Trump, only 7 interruptions of Hillary.[/size]

Ridiculous. He never "interrupted" Trump. He worked time after time, and not nearly enough, to get Trump to follow the agreed-upon rules and stay within his allotted time and stop interrupting Hillary.

What an asshole.

:coffee:
"If your only tool is a hammer, every problem looks like Donald Trump."

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Crux
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Hillary Clinton is an absolute fraud.

Postby Crux » 2016 Sep 27 17:40

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She was not credible, rather, pinched. Not honest rather, shady. Not PRESIDENTIAL, rather fake as hell....
_____________________________________________________________________________________________

Trump is transparent, authentic, visceral and loves this country. That is why he is winning in part.

Hillary is the other part....
Attachments
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Crux
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I found your 2%

Postby Crux » 2016 Sep 27 17:55

Wise One wrote:
One can only hope that a skinny 2% of the population at the margin, with an ability to look, learn, and exercise critical judgment, will vote for Hillary.


:coffee:



"Two percent of voters, previously undecided, switched to Trump after the debate. No undecideds went to Clinton.
One percent switched from Trump to Clinton, and one percent switched from Clinton to Trump."


http://www.breitbart.com/2016-president ... lash-poll/

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Crux
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Re: Trump did better than you might think.

Postby Crux » 2016 Sep 28 09:38

Wise One wrote:
Crux wrote:41 times Holt interrupted Trump, only 7 interruptions of Hillary.[/size]

Ridiculous. He never "interrupted" Trump. He worked time after time, and not nearly enough, to get Trump to follow the agreed-upon rules and stay within his allotted time and stop interrupting Hillary.

What an asshole.

:coffee:


Since when do Democrats, especially Hillary, play by the rules? :coffee:

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Wise One
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Re: Your Election May Last more than 4 Hours

Postby Wise One » 2016 Oct 08 21:40

And the beat goes on. Thanks to the antics of arguably the most inept and unqualified person in the history of presidential politics it's pretty clear now how this election is going to turn out.

Here's how Nate projects the electoral college vote as of October 10. Constitutional democracy in the United States shall live on after all.

Capture6.JPG
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The paradoxical problem is that as the certainty of a Hillary win grows, there is a temptation to become apathetic. Equally important is the "down ballot" vote for congressmen and senators, and low turnout keeps creepy Republicans in office. We need them out of there so the country can move forward for the benefit of all.

PS. Driving around Rockbridge County, there are signs proclaiming "I am incredibly stupid." (Translated from the Republican "Trump/Pence"). It's nice to know where bozos live ... I'll avoid them like the plague.

:coffee:
"If your only tool is a hammer, every problem looks like Donald Trump."